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US Pentagon official’s Manila speech exposes alliance fragility, with Philippines likely to bear costs of provocations: Chinese expert_我的网站

笑看风云

一 |     那天,在朋友圈看到一个姑娘发了条动态:                    @ 曾十四                    26岁,高校万能班导师                         每当我很难走出一种情绪或状态的时候,我就会开始更换或清理身边的物件。    

Illustration: Liu Rui/GT
    Illustration: Liu Rui/GTUS Pentagon official Elbridge Colby's latest Manila speech, in which he called on allies to "invest more" in their own defense and stressed that Washington wants "partners, not protectorates," has drawn attention from some Philippine media. Colby's claims also expose the fragility of the Manila-Washington alliance and Washington's push to enlist "Indo-Pacific" allies in serving its own strategic interests, a Chinese expert said, warning that the Philippines, by placing itself on the front line of provocations against China, risks being a geopolitical pawn left to bear the consequences on its own.
While delivering a speech at the Stratbase Institute in Manila, Philippines, on Monday, Colby, the Under Secretary of War for Policy, laid out the US' so-called "flexible realism" approach to the Indo-Pacific, stressing that the US is "definitely not disengaging from Asia" but strengthening its forward posture and seeking to build a "denial defense" along the First Island Chain, according to a transcript of the speech released on the US Department of War website.
At the same time, he called on US allies and partners to step up, invest more in their own defense, and take responsibility for their own sovereign security. "We are looking for partners, not protectorates," Colby claimed.
The claims have drawn attention from some Philippine media outlets, with some linking them to the South China Sea issue. However, the transcript of Colby's speech showed that he did not mention China, the Global Times found. 
A Manila Bulletin report noted that after calling on allies to invest more in defense, Colby cited the Philippines as an example of the "kind of partner Washington wants to work with." He praised Manila for "strengthening its military and coast guard capabilities while deepening operational cooperation with the US" amid what the report described as China's "aggression" in the South China Sea.
Colby's visit to Manila marked his first official trip to Southeast Asia as an undersecretary under the Trump administration. He is scheduled to travel from Manila to Jakarta, Indonesia; Bangkok, Thailand; and Phnom Penh, Cambodia, said the report.
Meanwhile, a Manila Standard report interpreted Colby's remarks as showing that "the US is working closely with the Philippines" to strengthen Manila's military capabilities and protect its sovereign rights in the South China Sea, despite the fact that Colby did not mention China in his speech.
The US appears to be adopting a more retrenchment-style approach, shifting from leading directly to relying on regional allies to take the frontline role while providing support. This approach allows Washington to advance its interests while lowering its own costs, Song Zhongping, a Chinese military affairs expert, told the Global Times.
Song noted that Washington seeks to use repeated maritime frictions to tie down Chinese resources, which helps explain Colby's praise for Manila: the Philippines bears part of Washington's strategic burden while receiving largely rhetorical US support.
A South China Morning Post report on Tuesday noted that Colby avoided mentioning the recent disputes over Huangyan Dao, despite Washington having criticized China's establishment of a nature reserve there just two days earlier. The report described the omission as a "measured tone" ahead of a potential meeting between the Chinese and US leaders.
Washington's primary concern is its own interests. At the core of its "Indo-Pacific strategy" is strengthening its alliance network by pushing partners such as the Philippines to shoulder greater security burdens in pursuit of US strategic goals. As US-China diplomatic dynamics evolve, countries serving as Washington's geopolitical spearheads in confrontations with China risk being left behind, said some observers.
Song noted that this also reveals the fragility of the US-Philippine relationship.
The US has encouraged the Philippines to take the front line in confrontations with China while offering mostly rhetorical support. Should tensions escalate, Manila would bear much of the cost on its own, said the expert. 

二 |                    我会换掉洗发水的品牌,换掉沐浴露的味道,换掉毛巾的颜色,换上有太阳味道的干净床单,牙刷也要用新的。                   手机壁纸、手机铃声、手机锁屏全部换掉,然后再配一个骚气的手机壳和干净的手机膜,当然电脑桌面也在劫难逃。                   把桌面上七零八落的杂物全部扔掉,把读书笔记和陈年日志拿出来看一遍,把手机相册和百度网盘清一遍。

三 |                    拿出陶笛吹一首《女儿情》,取出卡林巴琴奏一曲《送别》,再哼上几句靡靡之音。

四 |                    看下备忘录上的琐碎,删除几条,再加上几条。                   制定周密的计划表,然后撕掉,丢进垃圾桶。                   人生无时无刻都在切换与逃离,虽无法完全阻断坏情绪,但至少可以在能力范围内掌控生活。                   这段话一下子击中我,看着文字,就知道主人是个清风朗月的温柔姑娘。                   当代年轻人丧字当头,读书有论文压力,毕业前后有求职压力,工作后更得面对无处不在的deadline,还有恋爱、房、结婚、养娃,桩桩件件,如乌云压境,逼得人无处躲藏。                   像这个姑娘,对生活来一次大的断舍离,不失为一种排解坏情绪、走出思维困境的好方法。

五 |                    顺着这个问题,我采访了一圈我的朋友们:                    当你很难走出一种坏情绪的时候,会做些什么?                    得到了很多共通也有趣的答案。

六 |                    @ 赵博士                    26岁,南开大学历史系博士在读                         说说硕士期间吧。

七 |                    硕士就读于一所人文气息浓厚的师范院校,是新校区,学校的绿化还不错。                   离我宿舍楼不远,有一处叫“不高山”的小山丘,山的确不高,但曲折多径,树种繁多,有一弯小溪在山间流淌,在东侧飞流而下,然后汇入昆明湖。湖里有不少锦鲤和金鱼,还有十几只栖身于此的鹅鸭。

八 |                    每当烦躁不安的时候,我都会去湖边的山上,观察哪一棵树长出了叶子,哪一丛灌木开出了花,有时候还会细数瀑布潭下的蝌蚪,记录白鹅夫妇教孩子如何梳洗,认真听流水潺潺,心也安静许多。                   我还会有意识地去听一些音乐学院办的音乐会,在艺术环境中放空自己,什么也不用想,再好不过了。

九 |                    @ 兰溪                    28岁,某国企产品运营小姐姐                         赶走坏情绪有好几种境界:                    第一种:坏情绪常有,如果碰巧在忙,就和朋友在微信上吐槽几句就该干嘛干嘛去了,一忙解千愁。

十 |                    第二种:坏情绪已经影响到手头的事情,那可能需要一个电话粥或促膝长谈才能排解,这个过程如果能伴随火锅的咕嘟咕嘟声,或许待谈话结束心情还会提升到一个更高点。                   第三种:道理都懂,但人生就是有很多的天不遂人愿,你无可奈何又愤懑不平,只好用别的事情来弥补:买东西一时爽,一直买一直爽,包治百病,鞋治百病,这话真的没毛病。                   记得一次特别不开心,一咬牙把心仪已久的jimmy choo带回家,刷卡的一瞬间只觉得:老娘值得最好的!虽然它跟我回家后就没再见过太阳,因为一直希望能够穿它去见值得的人,但偶尔在镜子面前美一美,也已经很过瘾了。

十一 |                    第四种:让别人开心,治愈自己。平时上班很忙完全不做饭,周末回家路上想好食谱,然后把厨房当主场,把一个个菜端上桌,整个过程非常享受,看到爸妈吃到我做的菜的那一刻收获了极大的满足感和价值感,然后暗戳戳地感叹,餐饮真是暴利行业。                   @ 法外                    27岁,自主创业                         如果是因为压力大,我解压方式比较多,钓鱼,找个朋友喝两杯或者在家收拾屋子。                   坏情绪上来就一种,什么都不做,睡一觉,醒过来基本就会平复不少。                   @ 阿瑶                    26岁,户外徒步达人                         分享个事儿。

十二 |                    今年四月一个阴雨天,我二话不说背包出门,十分敏捷地躲在地铁柱子后面甩开了男朋友的视线,然后一个人去了深圳湾公园瞎走,男朋友没找到我就去了公司加班(晚上我回家没看见人,问了才知道他去公司加班了,是不是很奇妙的人)。

十三 |                    深圳湾都是结伴来玩儿的,互相摆拍嘻嘻哈哈,我就一个人狂走。你知道我的速度吗?我走到以为前方就是鲜花掌声横幅和完赛证书。                   太怕麻烦,所以我没有那么多矫情的习惯,不哭不闹不惹事,尽量把情绪收在自身范围内。我只需要安静一会儿,还是看时间差不多就自己回家做饭的那种。跑步,游泳,保持一个人的安静,这种近乎零成本的消极反抗,如果鞋子的磨损不算的话。                   还有,这些是女孩们高频提及的解决方式:                    自己偷偷哭一场,把坏情绪和眼泪一起赶出身体。

十四 |                    吃顿美食:最好是涮火锅,酣畅淋漓流一身汗,酒足饭饱后又是一条好汉。                   剪头发:因为害怕剪头发,也害怕坏情绪,正好,以毒攻毒。                   K歌:吼到嗓子冒烟,脾肺一起疼,心就不疼了。                   看无脑综艺,刷剧,逛淘宝:买买买,反正要分散自己的注意力。                   找朋友煲电话粥:但是每个人都有自己的重担,越长大越不好意思把负能量输送给朋友,能理解的人也越来越少了。                   跑步:跑过去,把所有的负能量和不开心,全部留在身后。虽然第二天会腿疼,但心情会变好。

十五 |                    洗头和洗澡:特别有效,每次洗完心情就清爽多了,坏情绪会和污秽一起从下水道流走。                   (感谢以上认真提供答案的朋友们)                    @ 今心与禾火                    人是社会性动物,那些疯狂撕咬我们的坏情绪,大多源自人际关系。                   我比较倾向于自我消解,最好能一个人独处,放空,让当下的情绪包裹我、主导我,逼出自己内心深处最真实的感受,而不是一遍遍圣母式地告诉自己原谅一切,停止生气。                   然后开始写字。不经大脑,不要思考,直接写下这种不加工的真实感受,写字有和人倾诉一样的功效,而且百无禁忌。

十六 |                    坏情绪都诉诸纸上后,再开始写事情的来龙去脉,不要添枝加叶和凭空想象,要将自己从事件中抽离,像旁观者一样分析。这样很自然会进入理性思考阶段,至少会相对冷静和理智,抽丝剥茧,找到问题的真正原因,进而找出解决问题的方法。                   于我而言,写作是行走的树洞,也是自我疗愈的秘方。

十七 |                    更新频繁的时期,不是灵感爆棚,也不是闲得发霉,是陷在坏情绪里的我在自渡。                   关于情绪和悲欢,鲁迅先生这段话,我引用过很多次:                    “楼下一个男人病得要死,那间隔壁的一家唱着留声机,对面是弄孩子。楼上有两人狂笑;还有打牌声。河中的船上有女人哭着她死去的母亲。

十八 | 人类的悲欢并不相通,我只觉得他们吵闹。

十九 | ”                    字字珠玑,一针见血。                   我们虽然无法对他人的情绪感同身受,但一定知道自己为什么不开心,也大概率知道,怎样拯救自己的不开心。人生就是一个自己和自己周旋的过程,不管用哪一种方式,要及时收拾自己的垃圾情绪,力争快乐,能量才会越来越强大。                   要知道,爱自己,才是和坏情绪对抗的最大武器。                   以上,希望能帮助看这篇文章的你,拯救不开心。                   本文来自微信公众号:今心与禾火。

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